Packers vs. Patriots odds have moved in one direction all week: New England is now a 3-point home favorite at -169 on the moneyline, while Green Bay has drifted from +128 earlier in the week to +150 at the best legal U.S. books. This 4:25 PM ET kickoff at Gillette Stadium is FOX's late national window, it matches two 5-3 teams, and it has one of the widest moneyline price gaps on today's NFL board. Here is where the best numbers are and how we read the move.

Packers vs. Patriots Odds at a Glance

Spread: Patriots -3 (-112 best) / Packers +3 (-102 best)
Moneyline: Patriots -169 (best) / Packers +150 (best)
Total: 44.5 (Over -105 best / Under -108 best)
Kickoff: Sunday, Nov. 8, 4:25 PM ET, Gillette Stadium, Foxborough, Mass.
TV: FOX
Records: Packers 5-3, Patriots 5-3

Prices as of 9:00 AM ET, Nov. 8, 2026; odds change.

Best Price by Sportsbook

All prices below come from OddsGuard's live NFL odds comparison and include only legal U.S. sportsbooks. Spreads and totals are compared at the same line. The gap shows the difference in profit on a $100 bet between the best and worst price.

Market / Side	Best Price	Worst Price	Gap on $100
Moneyline: Packers	+150 (FanDuel, theScore Bet)	+143 (Caesars)	$7.00
Moneyline: Patriots	-169 (DraftKings, Caesars, Hard Rock Bet)	-175 (BetMGM, BetRivers, betPARX, Bally Bet)	$2.03
Spread: Packers +3	-102 (BetMGM)	-108 (DraftKings, Caesars)	$5.45
Spread: Patriots -3	-112 (DraftKings)	-118 (BetMGM, BetRivers, betPARX, Bally Bet)	$4.54
Total: Over 44.5	-105 (theScore Bet)	-112 (DraftKings, Caesars)	$5.95
Total: Under 44.5	-108 (DraftKings)	-110 (FanDuel, BetMGM, Fanatics, Hard Rock Bet)	$1.68

Alternate numbers: Fanatics and theScore Bet deal Patriots -3.5 at +100 and Packers +3.5 at -120, while BetRivers, betPARX and Bally Bet have the total at 45 (Over -108, Under -114). We cover how to value those trade-offs in our line-shopping guide.

The headline gap is the Packers moneyline: +150 at FanDuel or theScore Bet versus +143 at Caesars is $7 more profit on the same $100 ticket. For a week-by-week look at which books post the sharpest prices, see which sportsbook has the best NFL odds.

Why the Line Moved

Early in the week, SI's Nov. 3 preview listed New England -2.5 at FanDuel, with the Packers +128 and the Patriots -152 on the moneyline. By Friday, ESPN and CBS Sports had the spread at Patriots -3. As of Sunday morning, every legal U.S. book we track is at -3 or -3.5. The moneyline tells the same story: the Packers moved from +128 to +150 at FanDuel.

The total went the other way. ESPN reported it opened at 46.5 at DraftKings and it now sits at 44.5 across most of the market. None of our sources gave a single reason for either move, so we won't invent one. What the data does show:

Crossing the key number. Moving from -2.5 to -3 is the most important half-point in NFL betting. Books don't hand out that half-point lightly, which suggests real money came in on New England.
Conflicting totals trends. The Patriots' last five games all went Over and the Packers' last five all went Under (SI, CBS). The market has leaned toward Green Bay's profile, dropping the total two points.

When a favorite moves through a key number, the question is whether you're getting the closing line or chasing it. That is the core of closing line value.

Key Matchups and Injuries

Jordan Love vs. the New England secondary. Love leads the NFL with 2,246 passing yards and has 16 touchdown passes (CBS Sports), which works out to about 280.8 yards per game (SI). Green Bay's run game ranks last in the league (CBS), so this offense lives through the air.

Drake Maye and a hot Patriots offense. Maye was named AFC Offensive Player of the Month for October, and New England has averaged 29.6 points over its last five games (CBS). Both teams started 1-2 and have won four of their last five (CBS).

Green Bay's ball-hawking defense. The Packers have 15 takeaways, second in the NFL (CBS). SI ranks Green Bay 7th in defensive EPA per play, compared with 16th for New England. On offense, SI has New England 6th and Green Bay 12th.

Injury report (check final inactives about 90 minutes before kickoff):

Patriots: CBS Sports and Covers list WR A.J. Brown as out. CBS lists RB TreVeyon Henderson out (illness) and TE Hunter Henry questionable (foot). SI's earlier report had Henderson, Brown, Henry and Gabe Jacas as questionable and Mack Hollins on IR.
Packers: SI lists G Sean Rhyan, LB Zaire Franklin, OT Travis Glover and WR Christian Watson as questionable. DE Micah Parsons is on reserve/PUP.

Sources disagree on several designations, so compare prices again close to kickoff.

Packers vs. Patriots Prediction

This looks close to a coin flip. ESPN's FPI makes New England a 1.7-point favorite with a 57% win probability. At -169, the Patriots' moneyline implies about 62.8%, a gap you can check with our implied probability explainer. The best Packers price of +150 implies 40%.

Green Bay has the better defense by EPA, a takeaway edge and a quarterback putting up the league's top passing numbers. It has also covered five straight games (SI) and is 5-0-1 against the spread in its last six as an underdog (Covers). New England is 0-3 ATS in its last three (SI).

Projection: Patriots 22, Packers 21. Our lean is Packers +3 at the best available price, with the Under 44.5 as a secondary look. CBS Sports' SportsLine model also leans Under 44.5, projecting 43 combined points.

Betting Angles

1. Don't pay extra for the Packers spread

Packers +3 ranges from -102 at BetMGM to -108 at DraftKings and Caesars. That 6-cent difference adds up over a season.

2. Decide between +3 and +3.5 deliberately

Fanatics and theScore Bet offer +3.5 at -120. A three-point final is the most common margin in the NFL, so the extra half-point has real value. But you pay 18 cents more than BetMGM's +3 at -102 to get it. Weigh that cost against how likely you think a three-point finish is.

3. Shop the Under at 45

BetRivers, betPARX and Bally Bet offer Under 45 at -114; DraftKings has Under 44.5 at -108. Compare both before you bet.

4. Watch the Packers moneyline for a late move

The Packers have moved from +128 to +150. If the inactive list is cleaner for Green Bay than expected, that price could come back down. If you want the Packers to win outright, +150 at FanDuel or theScore Bet is $7 better per $100 than Caesars' +143.

FAQ

What is the spread for Packers vs. Patriots?

New England is a 3-point favorite at most legal U.S. books, with the best Patriots -3 price at -112 (DraftKings) and the best Packers +3 at -102 (BetMGM). Fanatics and theScore Bet have Patriots -3.5 at +100.

Is A.J. Brown playing for the Patriots?

CBS Sports and Covers list A.J. Brown as out for Week 9. SI's earlier report listed him as questionable. Check the official inactives about 90 minutes before kickoff.

What is the over/under for Packers vs. Patriots?

The total is 44.5 at most books, down from a 46.5 open (ESPN). The best Over is -105 at theScore Bet and the best Under is -108 at DraftKings. Some books are dealing 45.

What time and channel is Packers vs. Patriots?

Kickoff is 4:25 PM ET on Sunday, Nov. 8, 2026, at Gillette Stadium, on FOX.

Where are the best odds for Packers vs. Patriots?

As of 9:00 AM ET, the best Packers moneyline is +150 (FanDuel, theScore Bet) and the best Patriots moneyline is -169 (DraftKings, Caesars, Hard Rock Bet). Check the live NFL odds page before you bet.

Compare live odds across sportsbooks: get OddsGuard free.