American League

All-Star MVP Mispricings: Skip the Starters and Hunt Value in the Middle Innings

The public is pouring money into top-tier superstars to win All-Star Game MVP tonight, but the game’s strict player-rotation structure makes backing front-of-the-card starters an incredibly negative-EV wager. Because managers pull starters after just one or two at-bats, the real pricing inefficiencies are hidden deep on the benches with late-game power reserves.