State of Origin Odds (QLD, AU)

State of OriginJulThis Month
Event MonthCurrent Month

July 2026

8 matches · 4 days

Thu, Jul 161 match
Brisbane Broncos@Penrith Panthers
9:50 AM
Fri, Jul 172 matches
Newcastle Knights@Cronulla Sutherland Sharks
8:00 AM
Melbourne Storm@Sydney Roosters
10:00 AM
Sat, Jul 183 matches
South Sydney Rabbitohs@Canberra Raiders
5:00 AM
St George Illawarra Dragons@New Zealand Warriors
7:35 AM
Wests Tigers@Canterbury Bulldogs
9:35 AM
Sun, Jul 192 matches
Manly Warringah Sea Eagles@Gold Coast Titans
4:00 AM
North Queensland Cowboys@Dolphins
6:05 AM

8 upcoming matches.

We compare State of Origin odds across 4 bookmakers in QLD, Australia

PlayUpPointsBetSportsBetTABtouch

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sportsbook.com/futures
Super Bowl Winner
Chiefs+450
+$12
Eagles+600
+2.1% EV
Bills+800
BEST
Lions+900
BEST
49ers+1000
+$8
Ravens+1100
BEST
Bengals+1400
+0.8% EV
Cowboys+1600
+$12

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Thursday

Penrith Panthers vs Brisbane Broncos

Thu, Jul 16, 9:50 AM

BookmakerPenrith PanthersBrisbane Broncos
Best Odds
1.21
TABtouch
4.75
PointsBet (AU)
PlayUpPlayUp
1.204.50
PointsBet (AU)PointsBet (AU)
1.184.75
SportsBetSportsBet
1.204.60
TABtouchTABtouch
1.214.40

Friday

Cronulla Sutherland Sharks vs Newcastle Knights

Fri, Jul 17, 8:00 AM

BookmakerCronulla Sutherland SharksNewcastle Knights
Best Odds
1.58
SportsBet
2.48
TABtouch
PlayUpPlayUp
1.552.45
PointsBet (AU)PointsBet (AU)
1.572.35
SportsBetSportsBet
1.582.39
TABtouchTABtouch
1.542.48

Sydney Roosters vs Melbourne Storm

Fri, Jul 17, 10:00 AM

BookmakerSydney RoostersMelbourne Storm
Best Odds
1.29
SportsBet
3.70
TABtouch
PlayUpPlayUp
1.283.65
PointsBet (AU)PointsBet (AU)
1.283.65
SportsBetSportsBet
1.293.64
TABtouchTABtouch
1.283.70

Saturday

Canberra Raiders vs South Sydney Rabbitohs

Sat, Jul 18, 5:00 AM

BookmakerCanberra RaidersSouth Sydney Rabbitohs
Best Odds
1.85
PlayUp
2.02
SportsBet
PlayUpPlayUp
1.851.95
PointsBet (AU)PointsBet (AU)
1.802.00
SportsBetSportsBet
1.822.02
TABtouchTABtouch
1.822.00

New Zealand Warriors vs St George Illawarra Dragons

Sat, Jul 18, 7:35 AM

BookmakerNew Zealand WarriorsSt George Illawarra Dragons
Best Odds
1.20
TABtouch
5.00
PointsBet (AU)
PlayUpPlayUp
1.184.85
PointsBet (AU)PointsBet (AU)
1.165.00
SportsBetSportsBet
1.184.90
TABtouchTABtouch
1.204.60

Canterbury Bulldogs vs Wests Tigers

Sat, Jul 18, 9:35 AM

BookmakerCanterbury BulldogsWests Tigers
Best Odds
1.50
SportsBet
2.65
PlayUp
PlayUpPlayUp
1.482.65
PointsBet (AU)PointsBet (AU)
1.482.60
SportsBetSportsBet
1.502.60
TABtouchTABtouch
1.492.63

Sunday

Gold Coast Titans vs Manly Warringah Sea Eagles

Sun, Jul 19, 4:00 AM

BookmakerGold Coast TitansManly Warringah Sea Eagles
Best Odds
2.55
TABtouch
1.58
SportsBet
PlayUpPlayUp
2.401.57
PointsBet (AU)PointsBet (AU)
2.351.57
SportsBetSportsBet
2.391.58
TABtouchTABtouch
2.551.51

Dolphins vs North Queensland Cowboys

Sun, Jul 19, 6:05 AM

BookmakerDolphinsNorth Queensland Cowboys
Best Odds
1.62
PlayUp
2.35
TABtouch
PlayUpPlayUp
1.622.30
PointsBet (AU)PointsBet (AU)
1.602.30
SportsBetSportsBet
1.622.30
TABtouchTABtouch
1.602.35
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Handicap (Line)
A point spread applied to the match. Rugby league spreads can be large (10-20+ points) due to the high-scoring nature of the sport.
Total Points
An over/under on combined match points. NRL and Super League totals typically range from 35 to 55.
First Try Scorer
A popular bet on which player will score the first try of the match. Wingers and fullbacks are typically favored.
Winning Margin
Predicting the range of the victory margin — e.g., 1-12 points, 13+ points. Combines elements of the moneyline and spread.
Moneyline
A straight-up wager on which side wins. No point spread involved — you simply pick the winner.
Vig (Juice)
The bookmaker's commission built into every line. Standard vig is around -110 on each side, meaning you risk $110 to win $100.
Implied Probability
The likelihood of an outcome as suggested by the odds. For example, -200 implies a 66.7% chance. Comparing implied probability across bookmakers reveals where value exists.
Closing Line Value (CLV)
The difference between the odds you locked in and the odds at the time the market closes. Consistently beating the closing line is the strongest predictor of long-term betting profit.
Line Movement
Changes in odds between when a market opens and when it closes. Driven by sharp money, public betting patterns, injuries, and other news.
Bankroll
The total amount of money you've set aside specifically for betting. Effective bankroll management — typically risking 1-3% per wager — is essential for surviving variance.
Unit
A standardized bet size, typically 1% of your bankroll. Tracking results in units rather than dollars normalizes performance regardless of stake size.
Hedge
Placing a bet on the opposite side of an existing wager to lock in a guaranteed profit or reduce exposure, often used with futures or parlays.
Parlay (Accumulator)
A single bet combining two or more selections. All picks must win for the parlay to pay out. Higher potential return but significantly lower probability.
Futures
Long-term bets on outcomes determined at the end of a season or tournament, such as championship winners, MVP awards, or win totals.
Live Betting (In-Play)
Placing wagers while a game is in progress. Odds update continuously based on score, time remaining, and game flow.
Overround
The total implied probability across all outcomes in a market. An overround above 100% represents the bookmaker's margin. Lower overround means better value for bettors.

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Best Pricing in Your Region

Best PriceKalshi
Return: $6,359
+6259
Pinnacle
Return: $4,729
+4629
BetOnline
Return: $4,485
+4384
BetUS
Return: $4,136
+4036
Same 4-leg parlay · $2,223 difference